Hierarchical Market Intelligence
A statistics-first way to read real estate — connecting national economic forces to a property's real competition. It's how I appraise, how I represent buyers and sellers, and what I teach.
Explore the MethodologyWatch on YouTube
National and state economic indicators from FRED, the U.S. Census, and Zillow — the same data the methodology starts with.
30-Yr Mortgage Rate
Median Home Value
Median Income
Median Rent
Unemployment Rate
Homeownership Rate
Vacancy Rate
Affordability Index
Median Home Value
Median Income
Median Rent
Unemployment Rate
HPI YoY Change
Population
Sources: Federal Reserve (FRED), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS), Zillow ZHVI, FHFA HPI
THE GAP
Most real estate coverage stops at national trends and broad economic indicators. But the decisions in front of you are local and specific. The HMI methodology bridges that gap — connecting macroeconomic forces to the real competitive conditions around a single property.
WORK WITH ME
Non-lender residential appraisal for litigation, estates, divorce, bankruptcy, tax appeals, and private lending in Pinal and Yavapai County. Evidence-based valuation that holds up under cross-examination — not three hand-picked comps.
View Appraisals →Residential representation in Maricopa County, backed by the same statistical market analysis behind the HMI methodology. You see where a property really sits before you price it or offer on it.
View Real Estate →Market breakdowns, valuation walkthroughs, and neighborhood tours. No hype, no predictions — just how to read what the data is actually saying.
Watch on YouTube →THE FRAMEWORK
1
Start with the properties actually competing for the same buyer — set by price, type, size, and location, not by ZIP code or subdivision lines.
2
Statistical trend modeling, distribution and absorption analysis, and market positioning. Condition is classified, adjustments are derived from paired sales, and every step is documented.
3
The subject appears as a marked point across every visualization — scatterplots, trend lines, distributions. A defensible range emerges from the data, not from a number someone reached for.
THE DIFFERENCE
The competitive set is built from buyer behavior and market filters — not arbitrary boundaries. The selections are the methodology, and they're reproducible.
The analysis gives the range and the market direction. Professional judgment decides where the subject belongs and why — documented alongside the data, so the record holds up under scrutiny.
Developed by a certified residential appraiser and licensed Realtor with thousands of completed appraisals, mass-appraisal training, and institutional REO experience — not a tech startup guessing at how real estate works.
GET STARTED
Need a defensible appraisal, or representation that starts with the numbers? Start a conversation — or see the methodology in action on YouTube.